President Biden is mired in the most devastating month of his tenure in office — struggling to contain a deadly crisis in Afghanistan, an unyielding pandemic and other setbacks that have sent waves of anger and worry through his party as his poll numbers decline. August started with Democrats sounding […] Read more »
What Virginia Tells Us About the Midterms
Off-year elections are a Rosetta Stone for analysts and operatives. While their political significance is universally overstated, these elections drive media narratives and offer clues as to how the political environment is shaping up for the midterm elections in 2022. In addition to the California recall election on September 14, […] Read more »
As Congress debates, most Americans back Biden’s trillion-dollar spending bills
The ambitious and expensive Democratic spending bills being debated on Capitol Hill have a big advantage: Most Americans support them. The $1 trillion infrastructure bill was backed by 63% of Americans in a new USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll. And the $3.5 trillion budget plan, the most significant expansion of the […] Read more »
Attitudes on Jan. 6 Capitol attack settle in along familiar partisan lines
A majority of Americans are concerned about the Jan. 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol, believe it was an effort to overturn the 2020 presidential election results and think it was an act of terrorism, according to new results from the latest NBC News poll. But attitudes about the attack […] Read more »
I don’t buy that the 2020 census is good news for Democrats: Nate Silver
538’s Nate Silver breaks down what the changing U.S. demographics revealed by the 2020 census means for redistricting. This Week, ABC News The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »
Census shows a more diverse, urban America
Last week was nerd Christmas for political data devotees. The U.S. Census released the latest batch of redistricting data from its 2020 headcount, including key measures on race, ethnicity and geography. And two key elements emerged out of the data drop: The country is growing more racially and ethnically diverse […] Read more »