A pair of top political pollsters said Tuesday that the fast-moving foreign policy crisis in Ukraine and the uncertain trajectory of Covid-19 in the United States have cast uncertainty over the 2022 midterm elections, which will shape the latter half of President Joe Biden’s first term. The pollsters — John […] Read more »
The New Politics of Evasion: How Ignoring Swing Voters Could Reopen the Door for Donald Trump and Threaten American Democracy
In 1989, in the wake of the Democratic Party’s third consecutive presidential defeat, we offered our thoughts for the party’s recovery and renewal. Our diagnosis was blunt. “Too many Americans,” we wrote, “have come to see the party as inattentive to their economic interests, indifferent if not hostile to their […] Read more »
Why polls may be underestimating Republicans
Most polls you’re looking at right now are likely underestimating Republicans’ position heading into the midterm election cycle. It’s not that the polls are “wrong.” Rather, it’s that most polls at this point are asking all registered voters who they’re going to vote for in November, when it’s likely only […] Read more »
NRCC Hispanic Battleground Congressional District Survey Findings
This installment of the NRCC Battleground Survey Project is a deep dive on a key target group: Hispanic voters. The survey looked at 47 battleground districts that have a sizable percentage of Hispanic voters and will determine control of Congress ahead of the 2022 midterm election. According to 2020 exit […] Read more »
Is McConnell Finally Poised To Make His Move?
Some see a fight bubbling up for the heart and soul of the Republican Party between former President Donald Trump and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell. But despite Trump calling McConnell names like “old crow,” don’t believe that this feud is fundamentally personal. Rather, longtime McConnell watchers suggest the Kentuckian’s […] Read more »
California: Biden and Harris approval ratings decline
Californians’ job approval ratings of both President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris have declined over the past six months. Voters here are now about evenly divided in their assessments of the job Biden is doing as President, with 47% approving and 48% disapproving. Last summer Biden’s approval ratings […] Read more »