Democrats aim to balance multiple crises ahead of November’s midterm elections. Voters in Livingston County, Mich., share their concerns about inflation and their views of President Biden. Asma Khalid, NPR News The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »
NBC poll shows major shift in Congressional preference since 2018
Steve Kornacki breaks down education and gender differences in Congressional preference from our latest NBC News poll. MTP Daily, MSNBC The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »
Treating Politics Like the NCAA Tournament
According to the PredictIt betting odds, there is an 84 percent chance that Republicans will capture the House in November, a 77 percent chance that the GOP wins a Senate majority, and a 72 percent chance that Republicans end up controlling both. Generally speaking, I am not a big fan […] Read more »
History Shows the Democrats’ Midterm Doom Isn’t Preordained
Among the most frequently cited observations about politics — along with “it all comes down to turnout” and “a week is a lifetime” — is this factoid about midterm elections: “Since World War II, the party holding the White House has suffered an average loss of 26 House seats and […] Read more »
Sarah Palin’s Surprising and Possibly Historic Run for the House
Key Points• 2008 Republican vice presidential nominee Sarah Palin surprised the political world when she announced a run to replace the late Don Young in Alaska’s at-large U.S. House seat.• It’s not unusual for VP losers to subsequently win elected office, although in recent decades that has meant simply winning […] Read more »
Why Sarah Palin isn’t the clear favorite to win the Alaska special election
My columns are often about which candidates are most likely to win elections. But every so often, there are elections that are so difficult to handicap that I throw my hands up in frustration. The upcoming US House special election in Alaska is one of those. Former GOP Gov. Sarah […] Read more »