… Biden’s approval rating with Americans 18-29 years old is just 38% in aggregated Gallup data since September. From January 2021 to June 2021, it was 61% — about the same percentage of the vote he earned among voters under 30 in the 2020 election. Biden’s popularity among young Americans […] Read more »
Oregon: Voters are angry and worried
Oregonians, you are an unhappy bunch. You think the state is heading in the wrong direction. You’re worried about housing costs, homelessness, crime, wildfires and droughts. You’re mad at the president, at the governor, at elected officials in general. The candidates for governor feel your pain and in many cases, […] Read more »
Notes on the State of the Senate: The overall picture for November, and the looming primaries in May
… As we assess the Senate map right now, we do currently see the Republicans as favorites to take the majority. This is because, of the most competitive seats — the ones we call Toss-ups — Republicans are defending just 1 (Pennsylvania) and Democrats are defending 3 (Arizona, Georgia, and […] Read more »
Bidenism is failing. The question is how badly.
… Biden has been explicit about taking a different approach to the presidency than Donald Trump did. But my impression is that Biden and his advisers also believed he would be more effective than Barack Obama was, because conservative White voters would feel less threatened by him and congressional Republicans […] Read more »
Why Nevada will tell the story of the 2022 election
… When people tick off the most competitive states on this year’s Senate map, their selections would probably include states like Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Most race rating experts will also list Nevada, even if it is not top of mind. Indeed, none of the Democrats holding federal office […] Read more »
Biden’s pollster on the recipe for how to ‘not get our a—- kicked’ in the midterms
In the coming weeks and months, the Playbook team will be out covering the key districts and states that will decide the outcome of the midterm elections. This week, co-author Ryan Lizza was in Las Vegas to interview John Anzalone, who is best known as President Joe Biden’s pollster, but […] Read more »