Few issues have vexed Democrats more than the long-running defection of White, working-class voters to the Republican Party. Ohio’s upcoming Senate race will test whether Democrats have a formula to win some of them back. Ohio Republicans have just come off one of the most expensive Senate primaries in history, […] Read more »
GOP still favored in midterms, despite possible overturning of Roe v. Wade
The national political environment has favored Republicans since last fall. And it has only gotten worse for Democrats in the months since as inflation has skyrocketed and President Joe Biden’s approval rating has dropped. The recent leak of a draft US Supreme Court opinion that would overturn Roe v. Wade […] Read more »
New poll reveals warning signs for GOP on abortion ahead of midterms
Many right-wing politicians and pundits have spent the week rejoicing over Monday’s momentous report that five conservative Supreme Court justices appear poised to strike down the landmark Roe v. Wade decision that established a constitutional right to abortion almost half a century ago. Yet a new Yahoo News/YouGov poll, one […] Read more »
CNN Poll: Most Americans want Roe v. Wade to stay, but draft abortion opinion hasn’t shaken the midterm landscape
Americans remain broadly opposed to overturning the Roe v. Wade decision that legalized abortion nationwide, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS, following the leak of a draft Supreme Court opinion that would strike down the landmark ruling. Sixty-six percent say Roe v. Wade should not be completely […] Read more »
How Abortion Might Motivate or Persuade Voters in the Midterms
Key Points• The end of Roe vs. Wade could potentially give Democrats a better chance to motivate their own voters and/or persuade Republican-leaning swing voters.• Public opinion on abortion is nuanced, although more are likelier to take the pro-abortion rights side on a couple of key questions.• It’s unclear whether […] Read more »
Will Biden’s 2022 midterms be worse than Obama’s in 2010?
Whether it’s reporters or politicians or D.C. insiders, the question I get asked more than any other is, “How many?” — how many seats will Republicans pick up this fall? Forecasting numbers based on the latest polls is never a good idea, but certainly the trend lines are heading in […] Read more »