With six months left, ominous outlook remains for Democrats

Three-quarters of the way through the midterm election cycle, it doesn’t look like anything will change the ominous forecast for Democrats. And Republicans remain well-positioned to take back Congress this fall. There’s a difference between historic events and game-changing events (events that change the trajectory of an election cycle). A […] Read more »

The worst pandemic in a century has outlasted our attention span

… For weeks, Congress has been treating pandemic funding with all the urgency of an appropriations bill for the National Endowment for the Humanities. Maybe it will be combined with aid for Ukraine. Maybe it will stand alone. Maybe it will forever dance the limbo. The dominant mood remains: Who […] Read more »

In California, campaigns ignore Latino voters who could tip Congress, poll finds

Latinos looking to mobilize the largest ethnic voting group in California around key progressive issues are raising the alarm over the lack of campaign outreach to a critical voting bloc. The Latino Community Foundation, a nonprofit running one of the largest campaigns to engage Latino voters in California, partnered with […] Read more »

Fox News Poll: Three-way race in Pennsylvania GOP Senate primary election

Mehmet Oz and Kathy Barnette gain significant ground as support for David McCormick dips, making it a tight three-way race in Pennsylvania’s Republican primary for U.S. Senate. In March, businessman McCormick led television celebrity Dr. Oz by 9 points (24%-15%). A new Fox News survey of Pennsylvania GOP primary voters […] Read more »

GOP’s midterm bet: Voters will care more about inflation than abortion

One week after the leak of a draft Supreme Court opinion that would eliminate the constitutional right to abortion, Republican candidates and strategists are increasingly confident that such a decision would not seriously harm the GOP’s chances of regaining House and Senate majorities come November, as Democrats have suggested it […] Read more »

Abortion could upend midterms, but only if young people vote

Last week’s leaked draft opinion that would overturn the Supreme Court’s Roe v. Wade ruling has potential impacts that reach beyond the courts and abortion laws. It was a bomb set off in the thick of 2022’s midterm campaign. And one doesn’t have to look hard to see how it […] Read more »