What are the tipping points in the states likely to decide the 2016 presidential election? Bellwether counties in swing states show that the demographic gulf between the Democrats’ more urban coalition and the Republicans’ base of rural and blue collar whites is poised to grow ever larger in 2016. To […] Read more »
Clinton has consolidated her lead among Hispanic voters in four potentially decisive states
Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Rodham Clinton has consolidated her lead over her Republican rival Donald Trump among registered Hispanic voters in four potentially decisive states, according to a new bipartisan poll conducted exclusively for Univision News. CONT. Univision News Read more »
CNN/ORC polls: Trump, Clinton deadlocked in Colorado, Pennsylvania
Just one point separates Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump in two states that are critical to both candidates’ chances of becoming president, according to new CNN/ORC polls in Pennsylvania and Colorado. CONT. Jennifer Agiesta, CNN Read more »
Clinton, Trump in tossup Colorado race; Clinton holds lead in Virginia
In Virginia, Hillary Clinton has an eight-point lead, though that’s down from the sizable twelve points it was last month amid her post-convention bounce. Colorado is a tossup — Clinton holds a mere one-point lead over Trump. In Colorado, in particular, both candidates get negative ratings from voters across a […] Read more »
Univision poll: The Latino vote in 4 key swing states
Barely 56 days before the presidential election, Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by a wide margin among likely Hispanic voters in four battleground states where the Latino vote may prove to be decisive, according to an exclusive bipartisan survey conducted for Univision Noticias. The Democratic candidate leads her Republican opponent […] Read more »
The Message in a Longtime Conservative Tilting Away From Trump, Toward Clinton
In this election cycle, polls have been the least reliable guide to understanding what voters are looking for in the next president of the United States. They tell us who is ahead and behind at a given moment but don’t convey what is going on behind respondents’ preferences. Still, I […] Read more »