Maryland’s Democratic Senate race remains very much up for grabs three weeks before the primary, with voters sharply divided along racial lines, according to a new poll from The Washington Post and the University of Maryland. … Among all likely Democratic primary voters, Edwards leads Van Hollen by a statistically […] Read more »
Focus Groups Reveal Changed Stakes for Rising American Electorate in 2016
… This memo outlines the findings of four focus groups conducted by Democracy Corps on behalf of WVWVAF and VPC in Cleveland and Akron, Ohio on March 8-9 among segments of the Rising American Electorate: African American women (we included both frequent and less frequent voters), white unmarried millennial women, […] Read more »
Why Sanders Trails Clinton Among Minority Voters
Asked during a January debate why he trailed Hillary Clinton so badly among minority voters, Senator Bernie Sanders said he would gain ground once those voters became familiar with his track record and agenda on the economy and criminal justice. Two months later and on the eve of another important […] Read more »
How Trump vs. Clinton would reshape the electoral map
A prospective general election between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton could significantly alter what states are in play this fall and heighten more than in any recent election the racial, class and gender divisions within the national electorate. After successive campaigns in which President Obama expanded the Democrats’ electoral map […] Read more »
Will the Democrats Ever Face an African-American Revolt?
An insurrection now threatens the future of the Republican Party — an insurrection of white working class voters who have been among the party’s most loyal supporters since the civil rights movement of the 1960s. These men and women felt that they lacked an effective political voice, until they heard […] Read more »
How political science helps explain the rise of Trump: the role of white identity and grievances
This is the second of three posts describing how political science helps explain the success of Donald Trump. In the first post, we discussed the research showing that most voters are not ideologues, and, in particular, that many Republicans have liberal positions about government spending. This gives a heterodox candidate […] Read more »