Why is Hillary Clinton doing worse among whites now than in 2008? Racial attitudes.

… The graph below shows that Clinton’s average share of the white vote in 2016 has been 10 points lower than it was against Barack Obama in the states that conducted exit polls in both election years. Meanwhile, her support among blacks is 60 points higher. The dramatic turnaround in […] Read more »

Clinton, Sanders, and the Myth of a Monolithic ‘Black Vote’

Many believe that Bernie Sanders will lose the Democratic primary to Hillary Clinton in part because he cannot galvanize “the black vote.” … Ultimately, the idea of a black vote is getting in the way of a more accurate understanding of where significantly different segments of the population are headed, […] Read more »

To the Sanders Campaign, Some Voters Do Seem to Be More Equal Than Others

To those of us who made our bones in the Democratic politics of the 1980s and the 1990s, the arguments between Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton about the future of the Democratic Party and the mechanics of winning general elections sound familiar, with one camp obsessed with white swing voters, […] Read more »

Two-Thirds of Trump Supporters Say Nation Needs a Leader Willing to Break the Rules

A new PRRI/The Atlantic Survey finds nearly two-thirds (65 percent) of Republican front-runner Donald Trump’s supporters believe that the situation in the United States has gotten so far off track that country needs a leader willing to break some rules to set things right. In contrast, only 40 percent of […] Read more »