All year, the principal question looming over the 2022 campaign has been whether Democrats could defy political gravity. As we’re nearing the end, the answer appears to be: no, or at least not entirely. Midterm elections have almost always been bad for the party holding the White House, and they […] Read more »
Post-ABC poll: House vote nearly split, GOP has edge on economy and turnout
Republicans hold significant advantages on the bread-and-butter issues of the economy and inflation that are central concerns of this fall’s election, and are poised to claim a majority in the House in Tuesday’s election, according to a Washington Post-ABC News poll. Voters’ intentions for the House are split about evenly, […] Read more »
Economic discontent fuels GOP hopes as midterms draw to a close
Economic discontent and President Joe Biden’s unpopularity continue to fuel Republican prospects in the closing days of the 2022 midterm election campaign, with the share of Americans saying they’ve gotten worse off financially doubling since Biden took office, according to the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll. Given inflation stubbornly near […] Read more »
These Two Big Unknowns Make the 2022 Midterms Unusually Unpredictable
Here are a few things to keep in mind about the next week’s midterm elections. Let me start with a preface. The Democrats could do fairly badly on Tuesday yet still better than presidential parties have historically performed in similar situations. This could be true without the election providing a […] Read more »
Pandemic Outlook Recovers as U.S. Leaders’ Messaging Falters
About two-thirds of Americans believe the COVID-19 situation in the U.S. is getting better, and 44% — a new high — now say the pandemic is over. Both readings are up by double digits since July when optimism was waning amid rising cases. … Americans in all party groups have […] Read more »
Florida: DeSantis grows to double-digit lead, Rubio widens gap
It’s nearly Election Day, and the frontrunners in Florida’s biggest political horse races are maintaining — or expanding — their leads. An exclusive Spectrum News/Siena College poll snapshots opinions and preferences of 659 likely voters from Oct. 30 through Nov. 1, 2022 with a 4.4% margin of error. Gov. Ron […] Read more »