538’s Nate Silver on whether he thinks President Trump should worry about recent polls. This Week, ABC News The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »
Candidates who recover from Trump-like deficits are rarely incumbents
The polls are fairly unanimous: Former Vice President Joe Biden holds a significant advantage over President Donald Trump. On average, he’s up by 10 points nationally and in the pivotal battleground state of Wisconsin. There is time for Trump to mount a comeback, but the candidates who do come back […] Read more »
How Americans Feel About the Country Right Now: Anxious. Hopeful.
… Nearly six months after the first case of coronavirus reached the United States, a majority of registered voters say they are anxious, exhausted and angry, according to a poll by The New York Times and Siena College. Yet even as they brace themselves for months of challenges from the […] Read more »
Working-class white women are turning on Trump
President Trump’s storied grip on the white working class is weakening among women, threatening both his reelection prospects and his party’s efforts to improve its standing with female voters. While working-class men remain among Trump’s most loyal backers, defections among their wives, sisters and daughters are a big part of […] Read more »
As Is Their Habit, Independents Seem to Be Breaking Against the Incumbent
… What many don’t appreciate is that voters who consider themselves independent have a tendency to vote for change in every presidential election. 2016 marked the fifth consecutive election in which independents have voted in favor of the party not holding the White House, by an average of 4 percentage […] Read more »
Trump Disapproval Hits All-Time High And He Trails Biden By 8
After weeks of protests against police brutality and racism, and amid a renewed spike in coronavirus cases, the number of voters disapproving of the job President Trump is doing is at an all-time high, a new NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll finds. Trump’s approval rating sits at just 40% overall, while a […] Read more »