We’re less than four months from the 2020 election, and President Trump is in a bad way. A slew of national polls show him losing to Joe Biden by an average of around nine points; swing-state polls almost universally show Biden leading; and worry is growing on the right not […] Read more »
The Polls Weren’t Far off in 2016. They Aren’t Wrong Now, Either.
Over the last few weeks, my political conversations have started to change. They now often lead off with a question like “Can President Trump turn this election around?” or “What would it take for him to win a second term?” That’s quite a shift from just a few months ago, […] Read more »
Trump Is Selling White Grievance. The Suburbs Aren’t Buying It.
… From North Carolina to Pennsylvania to Arizona, interviews this week with more than two dozen suburban voters in critical swing states revealed abhorrence for Mr. Trump’s growing efforts to fuel white resentment with inflammatory rhetoric on race and cultural heritage. The discomfort was palpable even among voters who also […] Read more »
Latino Decisions Announces Release of New Survey Results in Six Battleground States
In partnership with Voter Participation Center and Voto Latino, Latino Decisions released their latest research on Latinos in 6-battleground states where Latinos will make a difference in the upcoming Presidential election between Vice President Biden and President Trump; Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Texas, Arizona, and Florida. This is the first […] Read more »
Reminder for Democrats: Politics won’t stop after November
Democrats’ near-term opportunities shouldn’t obscure the longer-term problems the party faces. First, from the time of his likely election in November and his inauguration in January, President Joe Biden will find himself under attack not only from the GOP but also from elements within his own party. … After eight […] Read more »
Why Trump Is Losing Older Voters To Biden
John A. Tures, LaGrange College When President Donald Trump struggled down the ramp at the West Point graduation ceremony, it was no big deal to me. It shouldn’t be a big deal to anyone, except that the centerpiece of the Trump reelection effort involves inaccurately portraying his opponent as having […] Read more »