On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, our team takes a historical look at post-convention poll bounces. Recent history hasn’t shown much movement for presidential candidates. Could this year be different? Then, the United States Postal Service and mail-in voting have taken center stage this election season. We discuss the […] Read more »
Beware the Outlier Poll
… As an election nears, many partisans start heading for the nearest window ledge every time they see a poll bearing unwelcome news. Sometimes they have good reason to be concerned, but often the poll is an outlier, one not particularly representative of other polling conducted contemporaneously. There is an […] Read more »
Gallup Experts on How Election 2020 Is Different
How does this election year compare with past elections? What do Gallup’s historical measures suggest about today’s political landscape — and what does this mean for President Donald Trump’s reelection prospects? Gallup’s Director of U.S. Social Research Lydia Saad and Senior Editor Jeff Jones join the podcast to discuss presidential […] Read more »
Reading the polls? Keep the grains of salt handy
The belated arrival of the party nominating conventions brought with it a slew of polls measuring where voters stand on the presidential race, and the conventional wisdom around those polls suggests they all say the same thing: Joe Biden is ahead of Donald Trump by a margin that’s generally larger […] Read more »
Harris dominated the conversation in the lead up to the convention
California Sen. Kamala Harris’ addition to the Democratic ticket dominated the things Americans heard, read or saw about former Vice President Joe Biden in the days leading up to the Democratic convention. And she came close to unseating coronavirus as the top word mentioned about President Donald Trump. These findings […] Read more »
The flaw in Trump’s suburban strategy
Give President Trump this much: He has finally realized that the 2020 election will be lost and won in the suburbs. The question is whether his realization comes too late. In recent weeks, Trump claimed that Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden wants to “abolish the suburbs,” tweeted that he would […] Read more »