As the Republican National Convention opens this week, President Donald Trump is in a tough position. … There isn’t much doubt that if the election were held today Trump would lose and might well take down the Republican Senate with him. So, all eyes will be on the Republicans’ convention […] Read more »
Trump heads into his convention in an unprecedented position
… Trump enters the Republican National Convention in an unusual position for an incumbent: trailing. It’s not just that he’s trailing, though; he’s trailing by a lot. If Trump is to come back and win this election, he’s going to have to rewrite the record books. There have been only […] Read more »
Biden enjoys post-convention bump in favorability
The Democratic National Convention, which attracted a smaller audience compared to last cycle, still delivered a favorability boost for Democratic nominee Joe Biden, particularly among the core base of the party, according to a new ABC News/Ipsos poll released Sunday. Prior to the convention, Biden had a net negative favorability […] Read more »
‘Things look a little better on the margin for Trump’
Nate Silver discusses whether or not Trump’s chances of reelection are increasing. This Week, ABC News Read more »
A Virtual Democratic Convention
This week, Joe Biden officially became the Democratic nominee for president in the first-ever virtual convention. While there were no crowds, handshakes, or applause to demonstrate excitement, the new format allowed for Americans across the country to participate. … Maya King from Politico, Astead Herndon from The New York Times, […] Read more »
Trump is leading Republicans to an unwanted record in the popular vote
American elections tend to swing on a pendulum. No one party usually holds power for too long. Since 1952, for example, only once has a party won the presidency three elections in a row. Yet, partially through a little bit of bad luck and two electoral college-popular vote splits, the […] Read more »