Just months away from a historic presidential election being held amid a deadly pandemic, a national reckoning on race and an unprecedented economic collapse, young people—especially college students—could help decide who wins the White House. A poll of 4,000 students, taken Aug. 9 to 12 and funded by the John […] Read more »
Why Trump’s Approval Ratings on the Economy Remain Durable
It is an enduring political question amid a pandemic recession, double-digit unemployment and a recovery that appears to be slowing: Why does President Trump continue to get higher marks on economic issues in polls than his predecessors Barack Obama, George W. Bush and George H.W. Bush enjoyed when they stood […] Read more »
Biden’s New Consolidated Lead In The Battleground
Democracy Corps’ phone, mostly cell poll with 1,500 respondents in sixteen battleground states shows Joe Biden and the Democrats moving into the kind of lead it needs to deny Donald Trump the ability to disrupt Election Day. The poll was conducted after the selection of Senator Harris and the launch […] Read more »
The DNC is over. Here’s how to read the post-convention data.
… The convention bounce itself obviously matters — Trump’s convention is one of his few remaining chances to eat into Biden’s advantage, and Biden could make more Republican Senate seats competitive by widening his lead. But more than a potentially fleeting poll spike, what matters most is the lessons each […] Read more »
Forecasting the US elections — as of Aug. 24
Right now, our model thinks Joe Biden is very likely to beat Donald Trump in the electoral college. CONT. The Economist Read more »
Biden gains popularity in post-convention polling
The first polls taken after the Democratic National Convention are in, and it mostly seems like “mission accomplished” for the Democrats. While it does not look like former Vice President Joe Biden’s lead over President Donald Trump had widened, Biden may have made his advantage more durable by raising his […] Read more »