How Trump’s base appeals have backfired

… Trump’s 2020 campaign and, indeed, his entire presidency has been about rallying the Republican base. Thanks to Trump’s messaging, the percentage of voters who see him as conservative has jumped during his presidency compared to where it was during the 2016 campaign. The problem for Trump is that in […] Read more »

Why Joe Biden’s lead is different than Hillary Clinton’s

New polls released Sunday confirm it: Former Vice President Joe Biden holds a clear advantage over President Donald Trump heading into the first debate on Tuesday. The New York Times/Siena College poll gives Biden a 49% to 41% lead over Trump among likely voters. The ABC News/Washington Post poll puts […] Read more »

Great Lakes states voted against Hillary Clinton; not for Trump

A lot of things had to fall right for Donald Trump to win the presidency in 2016, but the biggest key was his ability to win key northern states that had voted Democratic for several cycles. In particular, Trump flipped Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, which had voted Democratic in every […] Read more »

Tight races in Georgia and North Carolina, while Supreme Court is another factor

Voters say the Supreme Court vacancy has added to the already high stakes of the presidential election. In the battlegrounds of Georgia and North Carolina, most say it makes the election feel even more important — it’s one more factor in an election in which most voters from both parties […] Read more »