Former vice president Joe Biden leads President Trump in the contested battleground of Pennsylvania, buoyed by strong support in the Philadelphia suburbs and his competitiveness in the state’s western counties that were a Trump stronghold in 2016, according to a Washington Post-ABC News poll. … The Post-ABC poll suggests Biden […] Read more »
In Pennsylvania, advantage Biden with a big boost from women
Overwhelming support in Philadelphia and its suburbs lift former Vice President Joe Biden to a clear lead in crucial Pennsylvania, with backing from college-educated white people and women — notably white, moderate and suburban women — central to his advantage in a new ABC News/Washington Post poll. CONT. Gary Langer, […] Read more »
The polling danger for Trump: Erosion among independents and those with college degrees
… The 2020 race has been unusually stable, with Biden holding a healthy polling lead for months. … In the 2016 presidential race, Post-ABC polling was more variable. From June to October, there was a 9-point spread in the margin between Trump and Hillary Clinton in our polls, from a […] Read more »
How to watch the debates like a pro
The worst part of any presidential debate is the post-debate spin. Fortunately, there are five simple rules, backed by historical polling data, that can give you a sense of how the first meeting between President Trump and Joe Biden might affect the race. Rule No. 1: Keep an open mind. […] Read more »
Supreme Court Vacancy Hasn’t Boosted Trump’s Support in Pennsylvania
President Trump’s aggressive drive to add a conservative justice to the Supreme Court before Election Day has not helped him in Pennsylvania, a state crucial to his re-election, where more voters prefer Joseph R. Biden Jr. to fill the vacant seat, according to a poll by New York Times and […] Read more »
Trump Wants to Discredit the Election. This Nerd Could Stop Him.
The Fox Corporation these days reminds me a bit of America: The elites have lost control, and partisan noise drowns out almost everything. But there are pockets where traditionalists cling to fading norms. One of those pockets is a new office on the third floor of Fox’s headquarters on the […] Read more »