In an election where almost everyone says they’ve already made up their minds, few debate watchers tonight say they are trying to decide who to vote for. Instead, they’re rooting for their candidate, looking to see how they do, and they’re also playing political consultant, offering some views on debate […] Read more »
The Supreme Court, the election and coronavirus are on Americans’ minds heading into Tuesday’s debate
Two developments in the presidential race in the past week have grabbed Americans’ attention: the nomination of Amy Coney Barrett to sit on the Supreme Court and President Donald Trump’s refusal to commit to a peaceful transfer of power. Alongside these two stories, coronavirus remained a frequently-mentioned topic for both […] Read more »
What Polls Say About the 2020 Race as Biden and Trump Square Off
… Chris Wallace, the Fox News host who will moderate the debate on Tuesday, has announced the six topics on which it will be focused: the Supreme Court, the coronavirus outbreak, the integrity of the election, the economy, “race and violence in our cities,” and the respective political records of […] Read more »
Electoral College Rating Changes: Ohio and Iowa Move to Toss Up
In mid-June, we moved both Iowa and Ohio from Likely Republican to Lean Republican. At the time, we noted that while the polls were looking shaky for Pres. Trump, they were also catching him at what could be his lowest point of the cycle. “We’ll know soon enough if this […] Read more »
State Polls Give Biden Strong Lead in Electoral College as First Debate Looms
Key Points• There is a strong relationship between the 2020 presidential polls in the states and the 2016 results.• This relationship makes sense given that there is an incumbent on the ballot. In these kinds of elections, we see a very high degree of consistency in the results at the […] Read more »
Biden maintains lead heading into debate
The first presidential debate is Tuesday, marking the beginning of the final stretch of the 2020 campaign. It’s a fine time to take a step back and look at the big picture. The average of polls shows Joe Biden with a seven-point lead nationwide, giving him the largest lead of […] Read more »