… Preliminary county-level results show how the average margins in both urban and suburban counties were friendlier to Biden than they had been to Hillary Clinton four years ago, even as rural votes shifted more to the right. That suburban shift was critical: It is estimated that nearly half of […] Read more »
America Decided … America’s Divided: Everything Changed and Nothing Changed
Political analysis, by Bruce Mehlman of Mehlman Castagnetti Rosen & Thomas. CONT. — pdf The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »
Biden-voting counties equal 70% of America’s economy. What does this mean for the nation’s political-economic divide?
Even with a new president and political party soon in charge of the White House, the nation’s economic standoff continues. Notwithstanding President-elect Joe Biden’s solid popular vote victory, last week’s election failed to deliver the kind of transformative reorientation of the nation’s political-economic map that Democrats (and some Republicans) had […] Read more »
What happened to that ‘blue wave’?
… As Americans have polarized, both the Democratic and Republican parties have become ever more central to politics. However, they have simultaneously lost their capacity to organize an effective collective response to social challenges. Democrats in particular have historically paid sporadic and superficial attention to the mechanics of voter engagement […] Read more »
Don’t trust the exit polls
… Biden didn’t do as well as public polls projected. Some groups unexpectedly appeared to have shifted toward Trump, such as Latinos. In rushing to understand what happened, some have relied on the National Exit Poll (NEP) conducted by Edison Research to form narratives about what happened and why. But […] Read more »
So-called ‘Latino vote’ is 32 million Americans with diverse political opinions and national origins
Biden, here at an Oct. 9 event in Nevada, won Latinos – but not necessarily because his campaign did a great job reaching out to them. Demetrius Freeman/The Washington Post via Getty Images Lisa García Bedolla, University of California, Berkeley Pundits are expressing surprise that so many Latinos voted for […] Read more »