Key Points• Joe Biden is on track to exceed Barack Obama’s 2012 popular vote margin, but his victory in the key states is even narrower than Donald Trump’s in 2016.• Less than 2% of the national vote went to candidates other than Biden and Trump, a significant change from 2016.• […] Read more »
How independents, Latino voters and Catholics shifted from 2016 and swung states for Biden and Trump
The contours of a reshaped and expanded electorate are coming into focus, with network exit poll results providing an early look at which groups shifted the most from the 2016 to 2020 presidential elections. Overall, the network exit poll conducted by Edison Research suggests that despite a massive surge in […] Read more »
‘I Don’t Have a Happy Ending’: A Pollster on What Went Wrong
Over the past few days, there’s been much consternation over this year’s polling of the presidential race. How did we end up with a close election in key swing states after months of surveys that suggested there could be a Democratic landslide? It’s a familiar crisis: After the 2016 election, […] Read more »
Joe Biden’s win grows more decisive each day as votes are counted
President Donald Trump’s efforts to deny the outcome of the 2020 election cannot change an undeniable reality: Joe Biden won decisively, and his lead nationally and in key states has grown over time as more votes have been counted. … And let’s be clear, the chance of a recount overturning […] Read more »
Nearly 80% of Americans say Biden won White House
Nearly 80% of Americans, including more than half of Republicans, recognize President-elect Joe Biden as the winner of the Nov. 3 election after most media organizations called the race for the Democrat based on his leads in critical battleground states, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll. … The results were somewhat […] Read more »
2020 and what comes after in our politics
Conversations with Bill Kristol: On the 2020 elections, the fault lines in our divided electorate, and the challenges faced by both parties going forward. Bill Kristol speaks with Ron Brownstein. Read more »