Insults and Ads: How Gender Hurts Trump but Doesn’t Lift Clinton

Donald Trump thinks Hillary Clinton is playing “the women’s card.” But evidence suggests that if anything is making gender a potent issue in this campaign, it’s Mr. Trump’s words, not Mrs. Clinton’s. How do we know? New data on the emotional engagement and effectiveness of different campaign messages suggests that […] Read more »

Harvard IOP poll of 18- to 29-year-olds: Clinton a clear front-runner over Trump

A new national poll of America’s 18- to 29-year-olds by Harvard’s Institute of Politics (IOP), located at the John F. Kennedy School of Government, finds Hillary Clinton the clear front-runner over Donald Trump to win the White House in 2016. Among likely voters, Clinton has 61% of young voters and […] Read more »

Trump Doesn’t Have A Monopoly On Intolerant Supporters

Many of Donald Trump’s supporters are intolerant — racist, sexist and xenophobic. Indeed, some high-profile work has highlighted Trump’s populism and his appeal to less-educated authoritarians — a potent witch’s brew challenging democratic norms. And other analyses have focused on the specific targets of Trump supporters’ anti-democratic attitudes – especially, […] Read more »

Reaping as they sowed: How the culture wars are smiting the GOP

… If it wasn’t obvious before, it’s become hi-definition clear in the past few weeks that the culture wars, long a powerful wedge that Republicans wielded against the Democrats, have now become a dagger that cleaves GOP ranks down the middle. … The wedge of the culture wars still cuts […] Read more »

These two maps are incredibly revealing about who’s voting for Trump, and why

In a detailed analysis of the geography of Donald Trump’s vote, Neil Irwin and Josh Katz of the New York Times recently wrote that geographic pockets of unhyphenated Americans — whites who define their ancestry to be “American” rather than a specific European heritage — “turn out to be the […] Read more »