We know that resentment is driving much of Donald Trump’s success — resentment of elites, of the political class, of illegal immigrants, of protesters, of the media — and perhaps most particularly of changes in the demographic makeup of the country that Trump and his followers find unwelcome. Part of […] Read more »
Chicago and Race: Perception, Polling and Reality
… Here at The Times’s polling department, we often try to assess the state of race relations and discrimination in the United States. It’s a difficult task because conversations about race often rely on coded language or careful discussion, which means there are certain things we can know through surveys, […] Read more »
Racial prejudice, not populism or authoritarianism, predicts support for Trump over Clinton
… Unlike previous work that looked at how Trump supporters greatly differed from supporters of his fellow Republicans, authoritarianism doesn’t seem to predict much of the difference in support for Trump and Clinton. … That’s true for populism as well: Trump supporters are only slightly more populist than Clinton supporters. […] Read more »
In a Trump-Clinton match-up, racial prejudice makes a striking difference
Attitudes about racial and ethnic groups helped fuel Donald Trump’s apparent victory in the Republican presidential primary. … Voting in presidential general elections are consistently shaped by factors, most notably party identification and the incumbent president’s job performance, that could potentially overwhelm other considerations. We can gain some early insights […] Read more »
There’s much less gender bias in politics than you think. Here’s why.
… Hillary Clinton is poised to become the first female major-party presidential nominee in U.S. history. Congress is more than 80 percent male. And women’s under-representation is similar at virtually every other level of office. So it’s reasonable to assume that it’s harder for women to get elected than it […] Read more »
Trump Supporters Have Cooler Feelings Towards Many Groups, Compared to Supporters of Other Candidates
… In our newest analysis, we examine the feelings expressed by Trump supporters towards a variety of groups in America. The results are pretty clear: compared to supporters of other Republican candidates in the primary, Trump supporters really dislike many groups in America. For these voters, Trump’s blend of casual […] Read more »