Democrats have regularly argued that, with a robust populist pitch, winning back white working-class voters could be within reach. In 2016, there is evidence that, with the impact of Donald J. Trump on the race, that could actually happen. CONT. Andrew Levison, New York Times Read more »
New poll shows Trump supporters more likely to fear a majority-minority U.S.
… Support for Trump is highest among whites who express ethnocentric viewpoints, score high on measures of authoritarianism, identify strongly as white, and who express negative views of racial minorities. Now a new poll that we conducted adds another dimension. In particular, we directly measured Americans’ fear of the demographic […] Read more »
How political science helps explain the rise of Trump: the role of white identity and grievances
This is the second of three posts describing how political science helps explain the success of Donald Trump. In the first post, we discussed the research showing that most voters are not ideologues, and, in particular, that many Republicans have liberal positions about government spending. This gives a heterodox candidate […] Read more »
What differentiates Trump supporters from other Republicans? Ethnocentrism.
Donald Trump’s success in the Republican presidential campaign has surprised most political observers. But this does not mean his success is inexplicable. We know, for example, that support for Trump is strongly related to concern about immigration as well as to racial prejudice and white ethnocentrism. Almost 20 percent of […] Read more »
Donald Trump’s Surprising Success with Southern Evangelicals
Beltway Republicans are panicking over Donald Trump’s landslide in Nevada. But, if they thought the Wednesday after Nevada was bad, just wait for the Wednesday after Super Tuesday. Tuesday’s contests include the so-called SEC primary with six states of the former Confederacy and a seventh, Oklahoma, which votes like a […] Read more »
How to Pick a President without Being Sexist
Can stereotypes stop Hillary Clinton from becoming president? Many people think so. As linguist Deborah Tannen argued in a recent Washington Post op-ed, our definitions of a “good leader” and a “good woman” can sometimes come into conflict: “While the qualities expected of a good leader (be forceful, confident, and, […] Read more »