The New Yorker’s David Remnick moderates a conversation with three great political minds: Amy Davidson and Kelefa Sanneh of The New Yorker and FiveThirtyEight.com’s Nate Silver. They discuss the rise of Donald Trump, what it means for the future of the Republican Party, his chances of winning the general election, […] Read more »
Tuesday Results Make Clinton’s Delegate Lead All But Insurmountable
After sweeping all five contests in Florida, Illinois, Missouri, North Carolina and Ohio on Tuesday, Hillary Clinton has built an even more insurmountable lead over Bernie Sanders for the Democratic nomination. Clinton now has a pledged delegate lead of 1,139 to 825, meaning Sanders would need to win 58 percent […] Read more »
Hillary Clinton’s chief strategist: Sanders can’t win, and we’re ready to take down Trump
… The Vermont Senator has vowed to press on, arguing that he’s favored to win in a string of upcoming states and that he’ll be able to use the resulting momentum to persuade super-delegates to flip to his side at the convention. In an interview with me today, Clinton’s chief […] Read more »
Clinton Is Following Obama’s Path To The Nomination
… I’m intrigued by the parallels to the 2008 campaign perhaps because it’s where FiveThirtyEight cut its teeth. I spent a lot of time in the spring of 2008 arguing that Obama’s lead in elected delegates would be hard for Clinton to overcome. But Clinton’s lead over Sanders is much […] Read more »
Titanic Tuesday: Trump Leads but Doesn’t Finish the Job
Donald Trump could have generated unstoppable momentum had he won both Ohio and Florida. But now it’s clear to everyone that this will go right through June 7, the end of the Republican primary season. Most observers appear to think that the Republicans are headed for a contested convention now, […] Read more »
Trump’s Path Stays Clearest; Clinton’s, Perhaps More So
This much came clear in the March 15 presidential primaries: Many voters like Donald Trump, while many others don’t. John Kasich is popular in his home state, while Marco Rubio isn’t. Strong conservatives support Ted Cruz. And Hillary Clinton can win Midwestern primaries. For Clinton, that might be enough, or […] Read more »