A few months ago, I did my best Frank Luntz impression with four different focus groups of swing voters in states that will help decide the 2020 election. This was a project for the second season of The Wilderness, a podcast I host about how the Democratic Party can win […] Read more »
‘Nothing Less Than a Civil War’: These White Voters on the Far Right See Doom Without Trump
Great American Pizza & Subs, on a highway about 100 miles southeast of Las Vegas, was busier and Trumpier than usual. On any given day it serves “M.A.G.A. Subs” and “Liberty Bell Lasagna.” The “Second Amendment” pizza comes “loaded” with pepperoni and sausage. The dining room is covered in regalia […] Read more »
Trump has turned the suburbs into a GOP disaster zone. Does that doom his reelection?
For decades, there was an unvaried rhythm to life in America’s suburbs: Carpool in the morning, watch sports on weekends, barbecue in the summer, vote Republican in November. Then came President Trump. The orderly subdivisions and kid-friendly communities that ring the nation’s cities have become a deathtrap for Republicans, as […] Read more »
Introducing ‘County to County’: Milwaukee, Kent tell 2020 story
As the 2020 campaign gains momentum, the lessons from 2016 seem more relevant. National numbers and analyses can’t adequately capture the complexities of the Electoral College vote. And the American electorate is less a single entity than a complicated mix identities, views and beliefs. With that in mind, Meet The […] Read more »
Five Polling Results That May Change the Way You Think About Electability
Democratic voters have a clear ideological choice in this year’s presidential primaries. But if there is any lesson from the recent New York Times/Siena College surveys of the six closest states carried by the president, it’s that the Democrats have been presented with a series of choices about how to […] Read more »
One Year From Election, Trump Trails Biden but Leads Warren in Battlegrounds
Despite low national approval ratings and the specter of impeachment, President Trump remains highly competitive in the battleground states likeliest to decide his re-election, according to a set of new surveys from The New York Times Upshot and Siena College. Across the six closest states that went Republican in 2016, […] Read more »