… Biden isn’t your typical incumbent seeking reelection. He’ll turn 82 a few weeks after the 2024 election, and his job approval numbers have been terrible, primarily because the economy’s inflation numbers are terrible. It’s possible that he simply rides off into the sunset (on an Amtrak train, I suppose). […] Read more »
Why young voters probably won’t cost Democrats in 2022
… Biden’s approval rating with Americans 18-29 years old is just 38% in aggregated Gallup data since September. From January 2021 to June 2021, it was 61% — about the same percentage of the vote he earned among voters under 30 in the 2020 election. Biden’s popularity among young Americans […] Read more »
Ron DeSantis’ governing strategy in Florida is paying off
Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis has championed controversial stances that have catapulted him into GOP stardom. From Covid-19 vaccines to critical race theory to the law critics have dubbed “Don’t Say Gay,” DeSantis has annoyed Democrats (and many medical professionals) and delighted his fellow Republicans. He’s played to the GOP base […] Read more »
Treating Politics Like the NCAA Tournament
According to the PredictIt betting odds, there is an 84 percent chance that Republicans will capture the House in November, a 77 percent chance that the GOP wins a Senate majority, and a 72 percent chance that Republicans end up controlling both. Generally speaking, I am not a big fan […] Read more »
Near-even split in approval of President Biden’s handling of Ukraine
A new Marquette Law School Poll national survey finds 48% of adults saying they approve of the way President Joe Biden is handling the Russian invasion of Ukraine, while 51% disapprove. Approval of Biden’s overall job performance is 44%, with 55% disapproving. In January, Biden’s overall approval was 46%, with […] Read more »
Poll: Hispanics aren’t flocking to the GOP, but Democrats still have problems
Heading into the 2022 midterm elections, Republicans have been riding a wave of positive press about their gains among Hispanic voters as Democrats fret about hemorrhaging support from the fast-growing demographic. But while Democrats clearly have a problem, the GOP’s growing support among Latinos is less dramatic than some headlines […] Read more »