… Analysts and pundits will tell you Trump can’t keep his base. I’m not one of them. Trump was not joking when he said he could shoot someone on 5th Avenue in New York City and maintain his popularity. If he could shoot someone on 5th Avenue, well, he can […] Read more »
These 17 Swing Voters Have a Very Clear Message for Donald Trump
When Donald Trump was president, you rarely heard Trump voters blame him when anything went wrong; it was the Democrats’ fault, usually, or the deep state or Robert Mueller or the F.B.I. or was due to any number of conspiracy theories. Which is why it was striking, during our focus […] Read more »
DeSantis Pulls Record-High 2024 Support After Midterms
Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis has seen a surge of support for a potential presidential bid since the midterm elections, Morning Consult/Politico tracking surveys show, as a number of Republicans distance themselves from former President Donald Trump — blaming him in part for the GOP’s underperformance in the Nov. 8 contests. […] Read more »
Duh, It’s The Economy Stupid!
Inflation and cost of living were the top national issues, and they were national. Governors of both parties were popular and did well promoting their own economic progress and policies. But voters did expect candidates for the House and Senate to address the spiking inflation and cost of living. They […] Read more »
Trump’s GOP Primary Support Has Ebbed Ahead of Potential 2024 Announcement
Former President Donald Trump is poised to launch his third presidential bid with the bulk of the Republican Party’s electorate behind him, boosted by his handling of the economy and illegal immigration and his pugilistic posture toward the Democrats. However, the most recent Morning Consult surveys show signs of erosion […] Read more »
How Democrats Avoided a Red Wave
The coalition of voters who turned out to oppose Donald Trump in 2018 and 2020 largely reassembled yesterday, frustrating Republican expectations of a sweeping red wave. Under the pressure of high inflation and widespread disenchantment with President Joe Biden’s job performance, that coalition of young voters, people of color, college-educated […] Read more »