… Like other political analysts, I have come to believe over the past few years that a large chunk of the GOP — maybe a third or even more — retains its allegiance to Trump, and that will not change. But over the past two midterms (2018 and 2022), the […] Read more »
CNN Poll: Americans have little appetite for Biden-Trump rematch in 2024
There’s little appetite for a 2020 rematch in the coming presidential election, according to a new CNN Poll conducted by SSRS, as majorities of registered voters within each party say they’d rather see someone new nominated in 2024. About 6 in 10 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents say they want their […] Read more »
Trump in trouble: Republican support for his 2024 bid falls amid political, legal setbacks
Republican support for Donald Trump’s presidential bid in 2024 has cratered, an exclusive USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll finds, as the former president is beleaguered by midterm losses and courtroom setbacks. By 2-1, GOP and GOP-leaning voters now say they want Trump’s policies but a different standard-bearer to carry them. While […] Read more »
We Asked Americans To Explain Their 2022 Votes — And How They’re Thinking About 2024
The 2022 midterms are now in the rearview mirror, but Americans have only begun to process the ramifications on politics and government. … With all of that in mind, we’re wrapping up our FiveThirtyEight/Ipsos panel survey by looking at which issues drove Americans’ votes in the midterm election as well […] Read more »
Young voters’ enthusiasm for Democrats waned during midterms
Young voters who have been critical to Democratic successes in recent elections showed signs in November’s midterms that their enthusiasm may be waning, a potential warning sign for a party that will need their strong backing heading into the 2024 presidential race. Voters under 30 went 53% for Democratic House […] Read more »
How Kyrsten Sinema’s decision makes Democrats’ 2024 Senate map tighter
Arizona Sen. Kyrsten Sinema decided to shake up the political world on Friday by becoming an independent. The former Democrat is still caucusing with the party in the Senate, so the Democratic caucus still has 51 members. Now, instead of 49 Democrats and two independents within their ranks, the caucus […] Read more »