Pollsters are again staring down a familiar nemesis: Donald Trump. The polling industry whiffed every year Trump has been on the ballot. … And now, with Trump expanding his lead over his GOP primary rivals, pollsters are fretting about a bloc of the electorate that has made his support nearly […] Read more »
Trump’s defiance at the CNN town hall may scare off many voters — but not the GOP base
The Republicans in the audience laughed when former President Donald Trump mocked a woman who accused him of rape. They cheered when he defended his role during the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the U.S. Capitol. And they applauded again after he said he was “honored” to “terminate Roe v. […] Read more »
New Yahoo News poll shows Biden still leads Trump for 2024
As Democrats coalesce around him as their inevitable nominee, President Biden still narrowly leads former President Donald Trump in a 2024 general-election matchup, according to a new Yahoo News/YouGov poll. Yet the results also expose significant vulnerabilities for Biden — including his advanced age and the widespread perception that his […] Read more »
Not Biden vs. Trump Again! The Disgruntled Voters Who Could Decide the 2024 Election
Key Points• Joe Biden’s approval numbers are weak and are reminiscent of the numbers from some recent presidents who lost reelection.• However, Biden is still very competitive in polling with the current leader for the Republican presidential nomination, Donald Trump, in part because voters still have less negative attitudes toward […] Read more »
Stop Freaking Out Over Every 2024 Poll
Not long after the Washington Post/ABC poll was released on Sunday, the “hot take” machines started whirring furiously online and inside the Beltway. The poll, which showed former President Donald Trump leading President Joe Biden by six points (45% to 39%), “is an outlier,” cried many left-leaning commentators as well […] Read more »
What GOP Voters Have Told Me Since Trump’s Indictment
Donald Trump is the clear GOP front-runner for 2024. This isn’t news—he has dominated most polling since the day Joe Biden was sworn in. Despite leading the GOP to a historically bad midterm, being saddled with a dismal 25 percent approval rating, and becoming the first former president to be […] Read more »