Not long after the Washington Post/ABC poll was released on Sunday, the “hot take” machines started whirring furiously online and inside the Beltway. The poll, which showed former President Donald Trump leading President Joe Biden by six points (45% to 39%), “is an outlier,” cried many left-leaning commentators as well as those in the Ron DeSantis camp who argue that the Florida governor is the most electable GOP candidate. …
At the risk of sounding like a broken record on this point, I stress the following: when it comes to reading polls — especially polls that test two very well-known and defined candidates like Biden and Trump — I am once again asking for people to focus on the vote share (what percent of vote each candidate getting) and not on the margin (how many points one candidate is ahead of or behind the other). CONTINUED
Amy Walter, Cook Political Report with Amy Walter
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