People often talk about politics as though the business of electing candidates is shrouded in nearly infinite complexity. The reality is that for most of the 40 years I have been in and around campaigns, winning has often come down to just three factors — the racial composition of a […] Read more »
Republicans More Likely Than Democrats To Say Partisan Control of Congress ‘Really Matters’
With the midterm congressional elections still more than seven months away, registered voters are evenly divided between the two major parties in their election preferences. At the same time, Republican voters are more likely than Democratic voters to say it “really matters” which party gains control of Congress in this […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Higher interest gives GOP edge in 2022 midterms
Eight months ahead of the 2022 midterm elections, Republican voters are slightly more likely than Democrats to say they are interested in the contest and that the outcome is important to them. This could be a major advantage this fall, as the Republicans seek to build on a narrow 2-point […] Read more »
NRCC Battleground Congressional District Survey Findings
The NRCC’s latest battleground survey confirms that Joe Biden and Democrats face an increasingly challenging political environment. Battleground voters continue to hold Democrats responsible for the negative impact that record-high inflation, soaring crime, and the crisis along our southern border are having on their lives. Additionally, these voters overwhelmingly support […] Read more »
Democrats Are Making Life Too Easy for Republicans
… The historical pattern of midterm contests suggests that a rejection of the party in power is the customary order of business. But the consequences of a Republican takeover of the House or of both branches of Congress are unlikely to be routine. What we can be sure of is […] Read more »
Youth turnout could save, or sink, Democrats in 2022
Soaring turnout and big margins among young voters were central to the Democratic victories in the 2018 congressional and 2020 presidential elections. But with many young people expressing disenchantment with President Joe Biden’s performance, preserving those advantages looms as one of the biggest challenges facing Democrats in the 2022 midterms. […] Read more »