President Joe Biden said Thursday Americans were “really, really down.” He’s right about that. A new USA TODAY/Suffolk Poll shows the country in a funk and one that sets a problematic political landscape for Democrats in the November elections that are approaching fast. Only 39% of Americans approve of the […] Read more »
What the Polls Can (And Can’t) Tell Us
For the last couple of years, I’ve stressed that when it comes to campaign polling, it’s more important to focus on the vote share each candidate is getting than it is to obsess about the margin that separates the two candidates. The fact that a candidate is ‘ahead’ of another […] Read more »
New York State: 76% Say New Law Requiring Permit to Get Semi-Automatic Weapons Will be Good for the State
By 76-14%, voters say a new law requiring a permit to get a semi-automatic rifle – including being at least 21, passing a background check and taking a safety course – will be good for New York. By a similar 79-15% margin, voters want to see the Supreme Court uphold […] Read more »
Michigan: Kelley leading GOP gubernatorial field after arrest
Republican gubernatorial candidate Ryan Kelley’s recent arrest by the FBI for his suspected involvement in the Jan. 6 insurrection at the U.S. Capitol appears to have boosted his name recognition and favorability among GOP voters in Michigan, new polling conducted in the days following his arrest indicates. Kelley was arrested […] Read more »
Will 2022 tell us about 2024?
While no one knows exactly how bad this year will be for Democrats, every serious analyst recognizes 2022 is unlikely to be good for my party. Whatever the precise outcome, too many will blithely assume that the 2022 results will yield significant insights into President Biden’s prospects in 2024. History […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: More voters put trust in Republicans to handle inflation, crime
A large majority of voters say the economy is in bad shape. Two-thirds are pessimistic about conditions. Gas and grocery prices are a major problem for most families. And a growing number of voters feel they are losing ground financially. That’s the grim backdrop for the upcoming midterm elections, according […] Read more »