… Efforts to figure out how political events effect vote choice are notoriously fraught. People’s responses on questions about whether they’re more or less likely to back candidates that, say, will fight to protect access to abortions are often downstream from how the respondents felt about the candidates in the […] Read more »
Can Democrats ‘Break Away’ From an Unpopular President?
Over the last few weeks, we’ve seen several polls showing Democratic Senate candidates running either slightly or significantly ahead of President Biden’s job approval ratings in their state. The latest example was an AARP poll in Pennsylvania that showed Democratic Senate nominee John Fetterman outpacing Biden’s dismal 36 percent job […] Read more »
Public Pressure for Gun Legislation Up After Shootings
Roughly a month after mass shootings at a grocery store in Buffalo, New York, and an elementary school in Uvalde, Texas, the public’s support for stricter gun laws has risen sharply from its seven-year low in October. The 66% of Americans who now want laws covering the sale of firearms […] Read more »
Will the Democrats’ working-class strategy pay off?
There has been plenty of talk over the past few years about the Democrats’ problems appealing to white, blue-collar voters. … November’s midterm elections will present something of a test for Democratic strategists. What kind of coalition — and candidates — will get the party back on a winning track? […] Read more »
Democrats are losing ground with the fastest-growing political bloc: Asian Americans
A lot of attention has been paid to the problems President Joe Biden and other Democrats have with core party constituencies, including young and Hispanic voters. And there’s been plenty of polling to back that up. Far less attention, though, has been paid to potential declines in Democrats’ standing among […] Read more »
Voters Democrats need most are getting hit the hardest by inflation
… From moms in Pennsylvania to Black voters in Georgia, key groups of voters crucial to Democratic victories in 2020 are getting hit the hardest by record levels of inflation, deepening Democrats’ struggle to hold on to congressional control in Washington. Inflation has been cited as a top concern by […] Read more »