Some Lessons and Questions After the Kansas Abortion Referendum

Since the Roe v. Wade decision, the typical American’s position has been “abortion should be legally permitted for some reasons but not others.” This remains true even in many conservative-leaning states, like Kansas, where a majority of elected representatives are pro-life. … By increasing the electoral salience of abortion, an […] Read more »

CBS News Battleground Tracker: What do voters in each party want in a candidate?

The latest CBS News Battleground Tracker takes a look at what — and who — would motivate voters to back a candidate. For most Republicans, an endorsement by the former president is a plus for that candidate, and even more so among Republicans who say they “always” vote in Republican […] Read more »

New York State: Gov. Hochul Holds Early 14-Point, 53-39%, Lead Over Zeldin

Three months until election day, Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a 14-point lead over Republican Rep. Lee Zeldin, 53-39%. Democratic US Senator Chuck Schumer holds a 21-point lead over Republican Joe Pinion, 56-35%, as does Democratic State Comptroller Tom DiNapoli, who leads Republican Paul Rodriguez 51-30%. Democratic Attorney General Letitia […] Read more »

Abortion Access Rises as a Voting Issue and Motivator, Especially Among Democrats and Reproductive-Age Women

Following the Supreme Court’s decision to end the constitutional right to an abortion, most voters (55%) now say access to abortion is “very important” to their vote in November’s midterm elections, up 9 percentage points since February prior to the decision, a new KFF Health Tracking Poll finds. This heightened […] Read more »

How Republicans could still blow the 2022 midterm elections

Sometimes polling trends meet your expectations. For example, you might expect a president’s approval rating to be low when we’re dealing with high inflation and negative growth in real disposable income per capita. Sometimes, however, trends in public opinion are surprising. Even as President Joe Biden’s approval rating languishes south […] Read more »