Democracy Corps conducted a national web survey among 2,770 registered voters from Sept. 9-15, 2022. The data include a base sample of 1,270 registered voters, with large oversamples of 500 Black voters, 500 Hispanic voters, and 500 AAPI voters. The oversample data are statistically weighted to ensure the sample’s regional, […] Read more »
Georgia: Personal and national factors collide in tight Senate
It’s the personal vs. the partisan in Georgia’s Senate race, where the candidates are close in support, but voters’ rationales for supporting each of them are quite different. Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock has better favorable ratings and character measures, while GOP challenger Herschel Walker’s voters have eyes on Washington and […] Read more »
Georgia: Warnock Edges Walker in Senate Race, Kemp Leads Abrams for Governor
U.S. Senator Raphael Warnock (47%) leads his Republican challenger Herschel Walker (42%) by five percentage points among Georgia registered voters, including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate. However, Warnock’s lead narrows among registered voters who say they definitely plan to vote. In Georgia’s gubernatorial contest Republican incumbent […] Read more »
Midterms 2022: April seems like ancient history
Less than six months ago — April, to be specific — Democrats were wringing their hands about the party’s prospects in November and Republicans were counting their chickens before their midterm eggs had hatched. … Long-term historical trends, combined with Biden’s standing in national polls, the enthusiasm gap and the […] Read more »
Democratic midterm message outperforms GOP’s message, NBC News poll finds
Beyond congressional preference, President Biden’s job rating and how the two parties fare on key issues, the new NBC News poll also tested the main Democratic vs. Republican midterm messages. And the poll found more voters preferring the Democratic message over the GOP message — without using either Biden’s name, […] Read more »
This little-known election predictor should worry Democrats
As early voting begins around the country, every political data point would appear to marginally favor the Democrats. Polls suggest they lead ever so slightly in key Senate races and in national House polls. Their candidates are raking in cash, while Republicans struggle financially. And in special elections following the […] Read more »