In our just completed national survey of 1,000 likely voters, the polarization of the American electorate has not ended with the elections of 2020. Instead, in spite of all the promises and rhetoric political division and disunity continues into 2021. Ironically, President Trump has left a recovering economy and historic […] Read more »
Cuomo’s Controversies
On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, Governor Andrew Cuomo faces criticism about his management of the state’s nursing homes during the COVID-19 pandemic. Now, he faces allegations of sexual harassment. What do New Yorkers think of Cuomo’s handling of the nursing homes? Where does his job approval rating stand, […] Read more »
Putting the GOP ‘Civil War’ in Perspective
… Trump will take the stage on Sunday in Orlando at the annual CPAC conference. And, once again, the political conversation will revolve around GOP infighting and the challenge for Republican leaders like Mitch McConnell to put Trump in the rearview mirror. … However, before we declare that the GOP […] Read more »
Mitch McConnell Would Like Trump to Fade Away
Mitch McConnell is savvy enough to know that when he took the Senate floor to blame Donald Trump for the Jan. 6 assault on the Capitol, he was pouring gasoline on an intraparty feud. As accurate as McConnell’s statement may have been — “There’s no question — none — that […] Read more »
Democrats Beat Trump in 2020. Now They’re Asking: What Went Wrong?
Democrats emerged from the 2020 election with full control of the federal government and a pile of lingering questions. In private, party leaders and strategists have been wrestling with a quandary: Why was President Biden’s convincing victory over Donald J. Trump not accompanied by broad Democratic gains down ballot? With […] Read more »
The Four Concentric Circles of Voters
The current political moment reminds me of the story about the guy who had one foot in a pot of boiling water and the other foot in a bucket of ice. On average, he was quite comfortable. Indeed, in politics, we too often focus on averages—the overall numbers—which even if […] Read more »