Eight weeks in, President Joe Biden has overseen a huge Covid relief win, surging vaccinations and declining case counts. As Wall Street sets new records, forecasters predict an economic boom. And yet, from his sixth day in office to his sixtieth, Biden’s approval rating barely budged. … And history suggests […] Read more »
It’s not Joe Biden’s Senate anymore
All presidents come to town with hope for pushing through a bipartisan agenda, before running into the reality of a divided Washington, but some people believed Joe Biden’s experience in the Senate and his knowledge of its personalities meant it might be different this time. It doesn’t look like it […] Read more »
What Will Turnout Look Like Without Trump?
… Donald Trump’s ability to capture media and popular culture attention is unparalleled. We don’t know what happens when he is no longer the center of attention. Will the voters he energized (good and bad) remain engaged without him? And, what about the folks who may not have sat out […] Read more »
Politicians rarely regret voting ‘no’
For the past couple of weeks, anchors and talking heads in the mainstream news media have been chewing over the same question: Will Republicans “regret” their unanimous vote against President Joe Biden’s COVID-19 relief plan? … But it is always easy to find scapegoats and other issues to justify a […] Read more »
Can Republicans Win Back Congress Next Year by Running Against ‘Cancel Culture’? Sure They Can
… Democrats are hoping that the Republican politicians who opposed the Rescue Plan will be punished at the polls next year. But history suggests that voting in favor of an unpopular bill is more likely to inspire a backlash than voting against a popular bill—especially one that passed anyway. Members […] Read more »
Will Democrats be content to defend in 2022?
One of the most intriguing questions going into next year’s Senate races is which party will be playing offense and which will be content to defend. History argues that Democrats will be on defense and Republicans on offense; exposure argues the opposite way, that Republicans will play defense while Democrats […] Read more »