The first seven months of the Biden presidency have been easy compared with what’s coming down the pike. … As the 2022 and 2024 elections get closer, Biden is in a race to keep public attention on policies and initiatives favorable to the Democratic Party and its candidates against the […] Read more »
House Dem campaign chief warns the majority at risk without message reboot
During a closed-door lunch last week with some of his most vulnerable incumbents, House Democrats’ campaign chief delivered a blunt warning: If the midterms were held now, they would lose the majority. Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney (D-N.Y.) followed that bleak forecast, which was confirmed by multiple people familiar with the […] Read more »
Trump remains the key to 2022
… Democrats’ best chance of holding the House and the Senate next year is by keeping the focus on Trump — by exposing what he did as president to undermine the rule of law and to cast doubt on the legitimacy of the 2020 election. Keeping the attention on Trump […] Read more »
Which Republicans can hit the sweet spot in Ohio?
In the post-Trump era, Republican candidates must be able to win over a critical mass of party loyalists, including hardcore Trump voters, to prevail in contested primaries. They must then be able to maintain enough support among swing voters to have a fighting chance in competitive general elections. It’s not […] Read more »
Trump commands historic attention for an ex-president. That may hurt the GOP.
A sitting president of the United States is usually the person who drives political conversation. Former presidents tend to be an afterthought. But even as we stand more than six months into Joe Biden’s administration, the President is fighting for attention with his predecessor, Donald Trump, to a degree not […] Read more »
How Long Can Biden’s Approvals Remain Stable?
We know that midterm elections are almost inevitably referenda on the incumbent president. One way to think about it is that in November of a president’s second (or sixth) year in office, voters go to the polls looking to vote for or against that president and, not finding the name, […] Read more »