There is no political saying more trite — or more accurate — than James Carville’s famous aphorism from the 1992 campaign “It’s the economy, stupid.” Electoral success and economic performance are intrinsically tied together. The party in power is usually rewarded for a strong economy and punished for a weak […] Read more »
McLaughlin Poll: Biden’s Approval Falling, Trump Remains Clear 2024 Favorite
The McLaughlin & Associates October National Poll of 1,000 likely voters, conducted between Oct. 14-18, shows that while President Joe Biden’s policies are plunging America and the economy into misery, Biden and the Democrats’ poll numbers are falling even further with each disastrous proposal they put forth. This means, as […] Read more »
New York State: Democrats Give Hochul Early Double-Digit Lead
As New Yorkers learn more about their new governor and Democrats look ahead to a June gubernatorial primary, Governor Kathy Hochul leads her closest opponent by between 14 and 19 points in three potential primary scenarios, according to a new Siena College poll of registered New York State voters. … […] Read more »
Out of office and off the ballot, Trump’s influence still looms
The two candidates in the Virginia governor’s race are talking more about Donald Trump, the former President, than they are about Joe Biden, the White House’s current occupant. That disparity in the dialogue between Democrat Terry McAuliffe and Republican Glenn Youngkin points toward an unusual, even unprecedented, dynamic looming over […] Read more »
Is a Democratic Wipeout Inevitable?
… The lesson of history is that it is extremely difficult for presidents to translate legislative success in their first year into political success in the midterm elections of their second year. Those early achievements can boost presidents in their reelection bids, but in almost all cases they have not […] Read more »
Can Democrats Get Surge Voters To Show Up in 2022?
… For the last 12 years, two people — Barack Obama and Donald Trump — have been the animating forces engaging Democratic voters; one motivated with hope, the other fear. But, they can’t rely on them for much longer. Instead, Democrats need to show their most loyal voters that they’ve […] Read more »