… It turns out that Trump does not walk on political water. He does not defy political gravity. This is very bad news for him heading into the 2020 campaign. Trump was elected President with the worst favorable rating ever. This led many to speculate that traditional measures of gauging […] Read more »
Democrats Have Two Paths for 2020: Daring or Defensive. Can They Settle on Either?
For Democrats, the victories, near wins and stinging losses on Tuesday have intensified a debate in the party about how to retake the White House, with moderates arguing they must find a candidate who can appeal to President Trump’s supporters and historically Republican suburbanites, and progressives claiming they need someone […] Read more »
Why Aren’t Democrats More Excited About the 2018 Results?
… Democrats wanted this election to be about more than just winning the House or the Senate. They wanted 2018 to be a total rebuke of Trump. A wipe out of epic proportions all across the country. That didn’t happen. What we saw instead was more of a retrenchment. Red […] Read more »
What 2018 Elections Could Tell Us About The 2020 Presidential Map
President Trump claimed some personal victories in the 2018 midterm results, and as he ticked them off at a press conference on Wednesday he might as well have been walking through the Electoral College map for 2020. … As the president and his political advisers map out a strategy to […] Read more »
The 2018 Map Looked A Lot Like 2012 … And That Got Me Thinking About 2020
With Democrats having won the House but not the Senate on Tuesday — and with President Trump still in the White House — we’re headed for two years of divided government. That doesn’t mean there won’t be news, like … oh, say, the president firing the attorney general the day […] Read more »
It’s Not Too Early to Start Looking at the 2020 Senate Map
The votes haven’t all been counted in the 2018 Senate elections, but we know the size of the incoming majority will be critical, because the 2020 Senate map offers limited initial takeover opportunities for both parties. … Republicans will be playing more defense next cycle, defending 22 Senate seats while […] Read more »