Politically, our country is divided into four camps, not two. Only one of these, largely rooted in rural America and bolstered by ideological conservatives, supports President Trump. Two of them, urban progressives and suburban moderates, strongly oppose him. The last consists of white, blue-collar voters in the industrial states who […] Read more »
The Senate Will Be Competitive Again In 2020, But Republicans Are Favored
Before the election, we took a way-too-early look at the 2020 battleground — in the U.S. Senate. We landed on this takeaway: Democrats really couldn’t afford to lose much ground in the 2018 elections or they’d dig themselves into a hole for 2020. Well, with the special-election runoff in Mississippi […] Read more »
Massachusetts: UMass Amherst Poll Shows Biden with Early Lead in 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary
A poll conducted the week after the 2018 mid-term election of Massachusetts voters by the University of Massachusetts Amherst shows a slight early lead in support for former Vice President Joe Biden over both Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders and Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren in the 2020 Democratic presidential primary. CONT. […] Read more »
From the midterms to 2020
2020 became the big story of 2018, before all of this year’s votes had even been counted. But history teaches us that drawing a straight line between the midterms and the next presidential election is foolish. … Whether it’s positive or negative, the midterm mood is often a poor guide […] Read more »
The race to control the Senate in 2020 has already started
Massive fundraising in Maine. A countdown clock in Alabama. Calls and texts encouraging potential challengers in Colorado. Just a few weeks after 2018’s Election Day, the signs are clear: the 2020 Senate campaigns are already underway. Democrats start 2020 in a solid position, though they remain in the minority in […] Read more »
Trump’s unconventional presidency is hurting his 2020 chances
… A CBS News poll finds that President Donald Trump’s approval rating on his handling of the economy is 52%. His disapproval rating on this metric is 41%. The same poll shows that Trump’s overall job approval rating stands at just 39% to a disapproval rating of 55%. … The […] Read more »