From the midterms to 2020

2020 became the big story of 2018, before all of this year’s votes had even been counted.

But history teaches us that drawing a straight line between the midterms and the next presidential election is foolish. …

Whether it’s positive or negative, the midterm mood is often a poor guide to the results two years later.

Nonetheless, putting 2018 in context can provide some hints about what’s to come.

First, President Trump’s approval rating has been quite sticky, and he’s been hobbled with a low ceiling. CONT.

Mark Mellman (Mellman Group), The Hill