It might seem obvious that having a wide-open field, as Democrats have for their 2020 presidential nomination, would make it easier for a relatively obscure candidate to surge to the top of the polls. But I’m not actually sure that’s true. Democrats might not have an “inevitable” frontrunner — the […] Read more »
Democrats face the age old question in 2020
… Debate about the age of the party’s leadership is likely to grow more heated over the next year, both as that nomination process heats up and as Democrats in Congress intensify their confrontations with Trump. On both fronts the party faces the same paradox: almost all of the Democrats’ […] Read more »
What Lessons Should the Media Learn From the 2016 Election?
In the Sunday edition of the New York Times, Frank Bruni offered an excellent summary of media failures regarding coverage of Donald Trump in 2016, and urged his colleagues not to make the same mistakes in 2020. Is it possible for the political media to follow this advice? And what […] Read more »
Why Harris And O’Rourke May Have More Upside Than Sanders And Biden
Last week, we introduced a method for evaluating Democratic presidential contenders, which focused on their ability to build a coalition among key constituencies within the party. … In this article, I’ll go through a set of 10 leading contenders and map out their potential winning coalitions; we’ll tackle some of […] Read more »
How Julian Castro Could Win The 2020 Democratic Primary
On Saturday, Democrat Julian Castro held an event in his hometown — San Antonio, Texas, where he served as mayor for five years — to announce he is running for president. But Castro’s campaign might be a bit a of a long shot considering he’s polling between 0 and 2 […] Read more »
Why Democrats may go hard left in 2020
… A Gallup poll out this week finds that 51% of self-identified Democrats call themselves liberal. This is a record high percentage of Democrats calling themselves liberal since Gallup began tracking this statistic in 1994. … Potential 2020 Democratic contenders seem to be falling over themselves to be seen as […] Read more »