The Democratic research group American Bridge is preparing a $50 million campaign to win over a slice of President Donald Trump’s base, and new polling has convinced the organization that Trump is vulnerable on pocketbook issues, especially health care, among white working-class voters. The battleground-state polling is a new step […] Read more »
Primary debates matter. But not as much as you probably think they do.
… In the fluid stages of the campaign, debates can produce a media narrative that gives a long-shot candidate a temporary bump or, maybe more important, contribute to the rise or fall of a front-runner. The 2020 Democratic race is in that early, fluid stage: Media narratives aren’t set, and […] Read more »
Are Lanes Emerging In The Democratic Primary?
The first Democratic primary debates are scheduled for later this week, but the candidates are already butting heads. Joe Biden’s comments about his past work with segregationists in the U.S. Senate earned him strong pushback from Cory Booker, and Bernie Sanders appeared to be taking a jab at Elizabeth Warren […] Read more »
Is Centrism Doomed?
… Centrists may be extinct in the current Republican Party, but there are still plenty among Democrats. The presidential field is stacked with people routinely tarred as moderates by their left-wing opponents, including Cory Booker, Pete Buttigieg, Beto O’Rourke, Amy Klobuchar, Kirsten Gillibrand, John Hickenlooper and Joe Biden, the Democratic […] Read more »
Campaign 2020: Democratic Voters’ Interest and Knowledge
With a crowded field of more than 20 candidates, the first Democratic debate of the 2020 presidential primary election will be held on June 26 and 27, 2019 in Miami. Ahead of the debate, only 22% of those who say they are registered to vote and identify as a Democrat […] Read more »
What We Know About The Impact Of Primary Debates
… Political science tends to be skeptical of general election debates. The people who are most likely to tune into debates tend to be highly informed and already engaged in politics — and thus already likely to have formed an opinion. This has become especially true in recent years as […] Read more »