Amid all the ongoing changes in the country that generally favor Democrats, is it still possible that President Donald Trump will be reelected in 2020? Because I study religious and demographic change, I hear this question a lot. Much of the early punditry on Trump’s reelection prospects has focused on […] Read more »
For the 2020 Democratic field, ‘electability’ doesn’t mean much — for now
Most discussions about “electability” boil down to what path Democrats need to take to win the White House. Do they need a presidential nominee who mobilizes the base (including nonwhites, younger voters and those on the left) or one who attracts white, suburban swing voters and maybe even a 2016 […] Read more »
Electability of Democratic Nominee Outranks Issue Stances
The two dozen Democratic candidates currently vying for the chance to unseat President Donald Trump in 2020 are an ideologically and demographically diverse group, with wide-ranging views on major issues of the day. Yet, given a choice, 58% of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents prioritize a candidate’s ability to beat Trump […] Read more »
PollerCoaster 2020: The Electability Puzzle
After the trauma of the 2016 election, it’s natural that prospective Democratic primary voters are fixated on nominating the presidential candidate they believe to be the most electable. But it is increasingly apparent that these voters have formed questionable impressions of what constitutes electability, and in many cases, thrown their […] Read more »
It’s All About Name Recognition, Folks!
I was watching a news channel the other day when the resident pundit opined that polls show Joe Biden to be the most formidable Democrat against Donald Trump. “No! They do not. Stop saying that,” I shouted into the void. There is a great deal of nuance in what these […] Read more »
New Poll Answers the Question, ‘What Do Latinos Want to See in a Presidential Candidate?’
Today, UnidosUS (formerly National Council of La Raza)—the nation’s largest Latino civil rights and advocacy organization—presented the findings of a new poll that takes the temperature on Latino sentiment toward the parties, sketches what Latinos want to see in a presidential candidate and takes a closer look at what lies […] Read more »