Joe Biden’s lead in the Democratic primary field apparently rests on the three legged stool of long-standing familiarity, appreciation particularly among older African American voters as President Obama’s trusted second, and a perception that he is more electable than other Democrats. Electability is not actually a testable proposition as the […] Read more »
Presidential Primary Debate History: Lessons for 2020
The race for the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination has been going on for months (and it feels like years). Yet in some ways the battle only begins tonight with the first televised debate. The specifics of this first round of debates on the Democratic side are historically novel. While there […] Read more »
Telemundo Station Group’s 2019 Hispanic Opinion Poll
As the nation prepares to hear from 20 Democratic presidential candidates during the first round of presidential debates that will air this Wednesday and Thursday on NBC, MSNBC and Telemundo, the Telemundo Station Group today announced its first round of Hispanic voter opinion findings for the 2020 election cycle for […] Read more »
A Lot of Candidates May Make It Seem Like Democracy Is Working, But It Isn’t
If you were hiring someone for a vitally important job, would you begin by interviewing 10 applicants at a time, hoping that the ones with the snappiest sound bites might also be most qualified for the job? Of course not. And yet that’s the bizarre logic behind this week’s Democratic […] Read more »
Cory Booker Is Trailing In The Polls, But Some Democratic Activists Really Like Him
The first Democratic primary debates are nearly here, but the early-state Democratic Party activists I’m interviewing for my book on the future of the party are still largely undecided. Three more activists have committed to supporting just one candidate, but what struck me in this latest round of surveys was […] Read more »
Mississippi: Millsaps/Chism Strategies Survey Examines Democratic Presidential Candidates
Former Vice President Joe Biden holds a commanding lead among Mississippi Democratic voters as the first televised presidential primary debates are scheduled for the evenings of June 26-27. According to the findings from a new Millsaps College/Chism Strategies Pre-Debate Survey, 50% of likely Democratic 2020 primary election voters in Mississippi […] Read more »