Buried beneath the blustery bravado of Donald Trump’s openly racist attacks on four Democratic congresswomen of color were clear signs of electoral anxiety. Trump insists he is producing great results for the country, especially on the economy. And yet, at the price of provoking great backlash, he moved in an […] Read more »
Trump’s Great Reelection Expectations
A good friend of mine who is an American foreign policy expert recently returned from a trip to Asia, where he met with a wide variety of current and former senior government officials from across the region. The consensus view among these leaders was that President Trump will win reelection, […] Read more »
Trump’s Electoral College Edge Could Grow in 2020, Rewarding Polarizing Campaign
President Trump’s approval ratings are under water in national polls. His position for re-election, on the other hand, might not be quite so bleak. His advantage in the Electoral College, relative to the national popular vote, may be even larger than it was in 2016, according to an Upshot analysis […] Read more »
Biden, Sanders Still Have Best Images Among Democrats
In a Gallup poll conducted shortly after the first round of Democratic debates, Bernie Sanders and Joe Biden continue to enjoy the highest favorability ratings of all major Democratic contenders among the party’s base. Both are viewed favorably by roughly seven in 10 Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents. CONT. Lydia Saad, […] Read more »
What’s Missing from the “Ideology vs. Electability” Debate
We’re still in the early stages of the 2020 presidential campaign, but a common media frame has emerged already: will Democrats prioritize pragmatic electability when selecting a challenger to President Trump, or will the party instead prize ideological purity? Again and again, news coverage of the Democratic nomination contest has […] Read more »
Suburbs Were the Battleground of 2018. Why Are Both Sides Doing Everything They Can to Alienate Them in 2020?
… Trump believes that he won in 2016 because of — not in spite of — his rhetoric, divisiveness and open hostility to minorities and immigrants. His instincts have been further rewarded by a GOP that has failed to criticize him. It’s easy to understand, then, why he believes he […] Read more »