Two forces convulsing American politics found each other at President Trump’s rally in North Carolina this week: a sense of anxiety among white voters about their standing in a country that is growing more diverse, and a politician intent on stoking those worries. … More than anything else, the rising […] Read more »
How Trump’s 2020 reelection strategy could work — but probably won’t
… The Trump strategy is pretty simple: 1. Drive up the unfavorable ratings of his Democratic rival as he did in 2016 in order to compensate for his own low ratings. 2. Bank on an electoral college/popular vote split as he did in 2016. 3. Use a campaign of racial […] Read more »
Politics Podcast: Who’s Going To Win Pennsylvania In 2020?
Pennsylvania arguably tied Wisconsin as the tipping point state in 2016, according to FiveThirtyEight’s tipping-point calculation. And in the run-up to the 2020 presidential election, both parties are already taking the Keystone State seriously. President Trump held a rally there earlier this year, and former Vice President Joe Biden has […] Read more »
Conflicted About Trump: The Americans Disapproving of President Trump While Giving Him Credit on the Economy
… As perceptions of the economy have continued improving, Donald Trump has generally received higher ratings for his handling of the economy than his overall job approval in public opinion polling. Over the last six months, Navigator has tracked approval of Trump overall and approval of handling the economy, and […] Read more »
NBC News poll: Biden, Sanders and Warren lead 2020 field
Former Vice President Joe Biden is leading the pack of 2020 Democratic presidential candidates, with Sens. Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren tied behind him, according to a new NBC News|SurveyMonkey online poll. CONT. Dareh Gregorian, NBC News Read more »
How Trump could lose by 5 million votes and still win in 2020
In the wake of President Donald Trump’s tweets suggesting several nonwhite progressive congresswomen “go back” to their countries — three of them were born in the U.S. — it’s tempting for Democrats to believe the comments will backfire with an increasingly diverse electorate and seriously damage his re-election prospects. But […] Read more »