Most Republicans are supportive of President Donald Trump’s influence on the party and the GOP’s move toward populism, and they are happily optimistic that he will win re-election in 2020, according to the latest USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times national poll. And while the vast majority of Democrat-affiliated voters would be […] Read more »
Favorability of Major Political Figures and Organizations in Battleground Districts
Pundits have asserted that Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s progressive agenda threatens the Democratic Party’s chances of making broad gains in the 2020 election and beyond. Unsourced polling leaked to Axios suggested that white, likely voters without college degrees view Ocasio-Cortez overwhelmingly unfavorably—a population Axios deemed crucial to the Democrats’ future as […] Read more »
Your Best 2020 Preview May Be The 2019 Elections
Even if you’ve been paying attention to political coverage lately, you’re forgiven for not knowing there are elections in just a couple months. But there’s more to pay attention to than 2020. Virginia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi and New Jersey will be holding state legislative and/or gubernatorial races this November. In […] Read more »
Economic Anxiety Among Voters Is a Sign of Vulnerability for Trump
Americans’ confidence in the economy is fragile, with a majority of voters expressing concern — a potential vulnerability for President Trump if the current economic slowdown worsens before next year’s election. The stock market tumbled last week after bond prices flashed a signal that has historically been a predictor of […] Read more »
Joe Biden’s Poll Numbers Mask an Enthusiasm Gap
Joseph R. Biden Jr. is coasting in the national polls. Surveys show him ahead of his Democratic rivals in hypothetical matchups against President Trump. He has maintained a lead in Iowa all summer, despite facing months of controversies over his record and his campaign missteps. But less than two weeks […] Read more »
The Big Six Swing States in 2020
There are six states that will be key to winning the 2020 presidential election if it is at all close. Whoever wins most of them will in all likelihood win the presidency. The six are Florida, Michigan, Minnesota, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Donald Trump won Florida, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and […] Read more »