The Democratic primary dropouts are coming a mile a minute now. Earlier this week, Washington Gov. Jay Inslee decided to depart the 2020 presidential race. Now, Massachusetts Rep. Seth Moulton is bowing out. Both, like most of the primary field, were polling well below 5%. Both, like a majority of […] Read more »
Nevada: A discussion with Jon Ralston about the lack of presidential primary polls in Nevada
Nevada falls early on the 2020 presidential primary and caucus calendar. So, why are there so few polls about the Democratic contest? In this week’s episode of our podcast, Poll Hub, we speak with Jon Ralston, Editor of the Nevada Independent. Ralston shares the significance of Nevada in the electoral […] Read more »
Trump vulnerability in a primary is more fiction than fact
Former South Carolina Rep. Mark Sanford is seriously considering challenging President Donald Trump in the primary, even though he called the idea “preposterous” on many levels. It’s a rare moment when you should take a politician at his word. Even if you look past the huge hurdles of the president’s […] Read more »
These Are the Numbers That Should Worry Trump the Most
For months, my view has been that President Trump has roughly 35 percent of the electorate locked up; they will be with him come hell or high water. Another 45 percent will be against him no matter what. That leaves 20 percent up for grabs. We arrive at these numbers […] Read more »
Potential Impeachment Impact On 2020
President Donald Trump’s approval rating may remain underwater, but a majority of the public continues to oppose removal by impeachment even as the House Judiciary Committee has started proceedings. The latest Monmouth University Poll finds that about one-fifth of those who disapprove of Trump’s job performance join nearly all of […] Read more »
Texas-Sized Opportunities, Part 2
… In Part 2 of our Texas series we look at recent polling data to better understand Senator Cornyn’s viability both in the primary and in the general—assuming he survives a primary challenge, that is. We look specifically at his political weaknesses and at the internal challenges he faces within […] Read more »